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DeepMind推出WeatherNext 3:最先进全球天气AI模型

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DeepMind官方发布WeatherNext 3,宣称是迄今最先进、最准确的全球天气AI模型,提升预测能力。

AI推荐理由 DeepMind官方发布新模型,来源权威,内容专业,对AI模型研究有较高价值。

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推出 WeatherNext 3,我们最先进、最准确的全球天气 AI 模型 2026 年 9 月 3 日 | 我们的旗舰 AI 天气预报模型现在包含实时卫星数据、每小时刷新、更高分辨率、精确降水预报以及清洁能源变量。它现已集成到搜索、Gemini、地图、Google 地图平台和云中。 WeatherNext 团队 分享 您的浏览器不支持音频元素。 收听文章 [[duration]] 分钟 此内容由 Google AI 生成。生成式 AI 处于实验阶段 语音 速度 语音 速度 0.75 倍 1 倍 1.5 倍 2 倍 阅读 AI 生成的摘要 Google 推出了 WeatherNext 3,这是一种先进的 AI 模型,通过使用实时卫星数据而不是传统的物理模拟,提供更准确、高分辨率的天气预报。此更新提供每小时、本地化的预测,比以前的版本清晰五倍,为农业、可再生能源和日常规划提供了显著改进。您现在可以直接通过 Google 搜索、地图和 Gemini 访问这些增强的预报,或通过 Google Cloud 将数据集成到您自己的项目中。 摘要由 Google AI 生成。生成式 AI 处于实验阶段。 查看“推出 WeatherNext 3”,这是我们迄今为止最先进、最准确的全球天气 AI 模型。 我们现在提供每小时、高分辨率的预报,比以前清晰五倍。 我们的模型使用实时卫星数据,以惊人的精度跟踪快速变化的天气。 您将获得更好的降雨和降雪预测,帮助您自信地规划一天。 这些更新正在 Google 应用中推出,以帮助每个人做出更好的决策。 摘要由 Google AI 生成。生成式 AI 处于实验阶段。 Google 刚刚发布了 WeatherNext 3,这是一种 AI 模型,使天气预报更快、更准确。它使用实时卫星数据每小时更新一次,让您更清晰地了解外面的情况。这有助于人们更好地规划风暴或晴天等事件。它现在为您在 Google 搜索和地图中看到的天气信息提供支持。 摘要由 Google AI 生成。生成式 AI 处于实验阶段。 探索其他风格: 一般摘要 要点 基础解释 每天,天气影响着数十亿个决策。有些决策很简单,比如出门前带把伞,但其他决策则更为重要。风、雨和极端天气事件(如热浪和干旱)对农业、全球供应链、清洁能源生产和国家经济产生连锁影响。 近年来,AI 彻底改变了天气预报,利用历史记录比传统方法做出更快、更准确的预测。然而,预测高度局部化和快速变化的天气仍然是一个挑战。以前的模型通常缺乏足够的空间分辨率,并且难以整合来自卫星等来源的实时天气数据。 今天,Google DeepMind 和 Google Research 推出了 WeatherNext 3,这是迄今为止最先进、最准确的全球天气模型,根据 Brightband 的独立实时评估。我们的模型直接从实时观测中学习,使其能够为影响人们最大的天气事件提供及时、更本地化的预测。通过使用原始卫星数据每小时生成高分辨率预报,我们的模型使全球 Google 产品都能获得可靠的预报。 以空前分辨率进行快速天气预测 预报的实用性通常归结为细节以及它在时间和空间上的精细程度。WeatherNext 3 以多种空间分辨率生成每小时预报,从广泛的全球风型一直到局部地形,保持物理一致性。 使用 WeatherNext 3,我们可以以 5 公里分辨率可视化关键地表变量(如温度和湿度),以 10 公里分辨率可视化其他地表变量,以及以 25 公里分辨率可视化大气变量(如风速)。总体而言,这提供了比我们之前的模型 WeatherNext 2 清晰约五倍的全球天气图景,后者以 25 公里网格、6 小时间隔生成预报。 图 1:端到端 WeatherNext 3 系统架构。该模型将实时 1 小时地球静止卫星拼图与传统历史分析一起输入到单个灵活的 Functional Generative Network (FGN) 网格变压器中。它输出密集的网格场、离散的气旋轨迹,并原生预测站点级别的稀疏坐标。 图 2:英国上空 2 米温度预报的比较。WeatherNext 2(左)在 25 公里(0.25°)分辨率下与 WeatherNext 3(右)在原生 5 公里(0.05°)分辨率下的对比。WeatherNext 3 解析了复杂的局部地形,防止了旧模型中看到的像素化、过度平滑的热表示。 持续全球范围内的真实数据 WeatherNext 3 最大的飞跃是它学习的内容。大多数 AI 天气模型,包括 WeatherNext 2,都基于数值天气预报 (NWP) 模型的数据进行训练。虽然有用,但 NWP 模型是复杂的、由超级计算机驱动的物理模拟,带有六小时的数据延迟。这种延迟可能导致降雨或地表温度等快速变化变量出现偏差。 通过摄取实时全球地球静止卫星数据的拼图,我们的新模型获得了丰富、持续更新的大气视图。这允许模型每小时生成一次新预报,每次预报都基于最新的卫星观测,分辨率高达 5 公里。 这很重要,因为关键天气发展迅速。当风暴、锋面或降水系统突然出现时,我们的快速更新周期和更高分辨率提供了更早、更详细的见解,有助于推动有效的响应。 某些变量,如温度 和湿度,可能在短短几公里内剧烈波动,这对于海岸线、山谷或山脉附近的社区尤其重要。传统模型在这里遇到困难,因为它们训练的大气表示缺乏细节,并且错过了极端的局部变化。 为了解决这个问题,WeatherNext 3 改为直接训练稀疏气象站观测数据。这使我们能够在 5 公里网格上进行全球预报,并考虑地形等区域细节。 这一突破对于拉丁美洲、非洲和亚太地区的地区尤其重要,由于传统区域模型巨大的超级计算成本,这些地区历来缺乏高分辨率预报服务。它为这些地区的数十亿人和当地企业带来了本地化、高保真的预报。 除了改进的分辨率和预报频率外,我们的模型还引入了专门为可再生能源生产设计的预测。该模型预测 100 米风速(大致在涡轮机高度),用于精确的风能输出,以及高分辨率的云量和太阳辐射水平,以帮助太阳能发电场估计它们在地面上将接收到的光量。 这些数据对于全球清洁能源规划至关重要,允许电网运营商和可再生能源开发商准确预测其清洁能源资产将产生多少电力,并将其与消费者需求相匹配。 降水预报达到突破性精度 全球天气模型以难以准确预测降水而闻名。降雨和降雪系统由快速移动的云过程驱动,这些过程规模很小,使用传统的基于物理的模拟难以准确建模。因此,AI 预报通常会产生模糊的估计或完全错过强风暴的边界。 为了解决这个问题,我们使用两个高质量降水数据源训练我们的模型:NASA 基于卫星的 GPM 集成多卫星检索 (IMERG) 和我们自己基于卫星雷达的全球降水再分析。 结果是降水预报准确性的显著飞跃。在中程全球预报中,与基线相比的评估显示,对于早期提前期,连续排名概率得分 (CRPS) 相对于 IMERG 提高了高达 60%,相对于 MRMS 提高了 30%,相对于雨量计测量提高了 10%。 图 3:中程降水概率 (PoP > 1mm) 预报比较。WeatherNext 2(左)在 25 公里分辨率下显示高度扩散和像素化的降水足迹。WeatherNext 3(中)在 11 公里分辨率下与实际的卫星地面实况(右)紧密匹配,准确捕捉天气系统的尖锐对流带。 研究应用于整个生态系统 我们的主要目标是推进天气智能,使其普遍有用——无论是对于跟踪突然风向变化的应急响应人员、规划飞行路径的空中交通管制员,还是管理作物的农民。 为了将这些突破从实验室带到现实世界,我们正在将 WeatherNext 3 集成到 Google 的核心生态系统及其他领域: 高分辨率预报数据:我们正在提供全球天气预测,每小时更新,无需模型设置即可集成到您的工作流程中。这使研究人员、开发人员和企业能够在 BigQuery 和 Earth Engine 中查询数据,或从 Google Cloud Storage 批量下载。 全球可用:从今天开始,WeatherNext 3 将开始为 Google 搜索、Gemini 应用、Google 地图、Google 地图平台天气 API 和 Google Earth Engine 中的天气体验提供支持。此更新显著改善了长期预报。当提前一天或更长时间规划时,人们将看到降水预报准确率提高高达 50%——在历史上预报不太可靠的地区改进最大。因此,如果您正在为周末旅行打包或决定户外活动的最佳日子,您现在将获得更准确的预测来帮助您规划。 大气总是会保留一定程度的不确定性。然而,通过基于真实世界观测进行训练并绕过传统建模限制,WeatherNext 3 使我们更接近一个预报真正匹配地面实际情况的未来。 要了解有关 Google 地理空间平台和 AI 工作的更多信息,请查看 Google Earth Engine、AlphaEarth Foundations 和 Earth AI。 免责声明:有关官方天气预报、恶劣天气警告和公共安全建议,请参阅您当地的气象机构或国家气象服务。 了解有关 WeatherNext 3 的更多信息 阅读我们的论文 使用 WeatherNext 3 构建 探索 Weather Lab,实时查看 WeatherNext 3 的可视化 查看 WeatherNext 3 在 Brightband 的独立实时排行榜上的排名。 在您的收件箱中获取来自 Google 的最新新闻 注册我们的新闻通讯,获取产品更新、活动信息、特别优惠等。 完成。只剩一步。 检查您的收件箱以确认订阅。 您也可以使用其他电子邮件地址订阅。 您的信息将根据 Google 的隐私政策使用。您可以随时退出。 发布于:
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Introducing WeatherNext 3, our most advanced and accurate global weather AI model Sep 03, 2026 | Our flagship AI weather forecasting model now includes real-time satellite data, hourly refreshes, higher resolution, precise precipitation forecasting, and clean energy variables. It’s now integrated across Search, Gemini, Maps, Google Maps Platform, and Cloud. The WeatherNext team Share Your browser does not support the audio element. Listen to article [[duration]] minutes This content is generated by Google AI. Generative AI is experimental Voice Speed Voice Speed 0.75X 1X 1.5X 2X Read AI-generated summary Google has launched WeatherNext 3, an advanced AI model that provides more accurate, high-resolution weather forecasts by using real-time satellite data instead of traditional physics simulations. This update delivers hourly, localized predictions that are five times sharper than previous versions, offering significant improvements for agriculture, renewable energy, and daily planning. You can now access these enhanced forecasts directly through Google Search, Maps, and Gemini, or integrate the data into your own projects via Google Cloud. Summaries were generated by Google AI. Generative AI is experimental. Check out "Introducing WeatherNext 3," our most advanced and accurate global weather AI model yet. We now provide hourly, high-resolution forecasts that are five times sharper than before. Our model uses real-time satellite data to track fast-changing weather with incredible precision. You’ll get much better rain and snow predictions, helping you plan your day confidently. These updates are rolling out across Google apps to help everyone make better decisions. Summaries were generated by Google AI. Generative AI is experimental. Google just released WeatherNext 3, an AI model that makes weather forecasts much faster and more accurate. It uses live satellite data to update every hour, giving you a much sharper picture of what’s happening outside. This helps people plan better for things like storms or sunny days. It’s now powering the weather info you see in Google Search and Maps. Summaries were generated by Google AI. Generative AI is experimental. Explore other styles: General summary Bullet points Basic explainer Every day, the weather influences billions of decisions. Some are as simple as grabbing an umbrella before heading out the door, but others are far more consequential. Wind, rain, and extreme weather events, like heatwaves and droughts, have cascading impacts across agriculture, global supply chains, clean energy production, and national economies. In recent years, AI has revolutionized weather forecasting, using historical records to make faster and more accurate predictions than traditional methods. Yet predicting highly local and rapidly changing weather has remained a challenge. Previous models often lacked sufficient spatial resolution, and struggled to incorporate real-time weather data from sources like satellites. Today, Google DeepMind and Google Research are introducing WeatherNext 3, the most advanced and accurate global weather model to date, according to independent live evaluations by Brightband. Our model learns directly from real-time observations, enabling it to provide timely and more localized predictions for the weather events that impact people the most. By using raw satellite data to produce a forecast every hour in high resolution, our model makes reliable forecasts accessible across Google products worldwide. Rapid weather prediction at unprecedented resolution A forecast's utility often comes down to detail and how finely it resolves both time and space. WeatherNext 3 generates hourly forecasts at multiple spatial resolutions, maintaining physical consistency from broad global wind patterns all the way down to local topography. With WeatherNext 3, we can visualize key surface variables — like temperature and moisture — at a 5-kilometer resolution, other surface variables at 10 kilometers, and atmospheric variables, like wind speed, at 25 kilometers. Overall, this provides a global weather picture roughly five times sharper than our previous model, WeatherNext 2, which produced forecasts on a 25-kilometer grid in 6-hour increments. Figure 1: The end-to-end WeatherNext 3 system architecture. The model ingests live 1-hour geostationary satellite mosaics alongside traditional historical analysis to feed a single, flexible Functional Generative Network (FGN) mesh transformer. It outputs dense gridded fields, discrete cyclone tracks, and predicts station-level sparse coordinates natively. Figure 2: Comparison of 2-meter temperature forecasts over the UK. WeatherNext 2 (left) at 25-kilometer (0.25°) resolution vs. WeatherNext 3 (right) at a native 5-kilometer (0.05°) resolution. WeatherNext 3 resolves the intricate local topography, preventing the pixelated, over-smoothed thermal representations seen in older models. Real-world data at continuous global scale WeatherNext 3's biggest leap forward is what it learns from. Most AI weather models, including WeatherNext 2, are trained on data from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Although useful, NWP models are complex, supercomputer-driven physics simulations that carry a six-hour data lag. This lag can lead to biases for fast-changing variables like rain or surface temperature. By ingesting a mosaic of live, global geostationary satellite data, our new model gains a rich, continuously updating view of the atmosphere. This allows the model to generate a new forecast every hour, each one grounded in the most recent satellite observations available, at up to 5-kilometer resolution. This is important because critical weather develops fast. When storms, fronts, or precipitation systems materialize suddenly, our rapid update cycle and higher resolution provides earlier, more detailed insights needed to help drive an effective response. Some variables, like temperature and humidity, can fluctuate dramatically over just a few kilometers, which is particularly relevant for communities near coastlines, valleys, or mountain ranges. Traditional models struggle here because they train on representations of the atmosphere that lack detail and miss extreme local variations. To address this, WeatherNext 3 instead trains directly on sparse weather station observation data. This allows us to make global forecasts on a 5-kilometer grid that account for regional details like topography. This breakthrough is particularly vital for regions across Latin America, Africa, and Asia-Pacific that have historically been underserved by high-resolution forecasting due to the immense supercomputing costs of traditional regional models. It brings localized, high-fidelity forecasting to billions of people and local businesses in these areas. Beyond improved resolution and forecast frequency, our model introduces predictions specifically engineered for renewable energy production. The model forecasts 100-meter wind speeds (roughly at turbine-height) for precise wind-energy output, alongside high-resolution cloud cover and sun radiation levels to help solar farms estimate how much light they will receive on the ground. This data is crucial for global clean energy planning, allowing grid operators and renewables developers to accurately predict how much power their clean energy assets will generate and match it with consumer demand. Precipitation forecasting at breakthrough accuracy Global weather models notoriously struggle to accurately predict precipitation. Rain and snow systems are driven by fast-moving cloud processes on tiny scales that are hard to model accurately using traditional physics-based simulations. Consequently, AI forecasts often produce blurry estimates or miss the boundaries of severe storms entirely. To solve this, we train our model on two exceptionally high-quality sources of precipitation data: NASA’s satellite-based Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) and our own global precipitation reanalysis based on satellite radar. The result is a significant leap in precipitation forecasting accuracy. In medium-range global forecasts, evaluations against baselines show a Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) improvement of up to 60% against IMERG, 30% for MRMS, and 10% against rain gauge measurements for early lead times. Figure 3: Medium-range probability of precipitation (PoP > 1mm) forecast comparison. WeatherNext 2 (left) at 25-kilometer resolution shows a highly diffused and pixelated precipitation footprint. WeatherNext 3 (middle) at 11-kilometer resolution closely mirrors the actual satellite ground truth (right), accurately capturing the sharp, convective bands of the weather systems. Research applied across the ecosystem Our primary goal is to advance weather intelligence to make it universally useful — whether for an emergency responder tracking sudden wind shifts, an air traffic controller planning flight paths, or a farmer managing crops. To bring these breakthroughs out of the lab and into the real world, we’re integrating WeatherNext 3 across Google’s core ecosystem and beyond: High-resolution forecast data: We’re making global weather predictions, updated hourly and ready to integrate into your workflows with no model setup required. This enables researchers, developers and businesses to query the data in BigQuery and Earth Engine, or bulk-download from Google Cloud Storage. Available globally: WeatherNext 3 will begin powering weather experiences within Google Search, Gemini app, Google Maps, Google Maps Platform Weather API, and Google Earth Engine starting today. The update dramatically improves longer term forecasts. When planning a day or more ahead, people will see up to 50% more accurate precipitation forecasts — with the greatest improvements in regions where forecasts have historically been less reliable. So if you’re packing for a weekend trip or deciding the best day for an outdoor activity, you’ll now get more accurate predictions to help you plan. The atmosphere will always retain a degree of unpredictability. However, by training on real-world observations and bypassing traditional modeling constraints, WeatherNext 3 brings us closer to a future where forecasts truly match what is happening on the ground. To learn more about geospatial platforms and AI work at Google, check out Google Earth Engine, AlphaEarth Foundations, and Earth AI. Disclaimer: For official weather forecasts, severe weather warnings, and public safety advisories, please refer to your local meteorological agency or national weather service. Learn more about WeatherNext 3 Read our paper Build with WeatherNext 3 Explore Weather Lab to see WeatherNext 3 visualized in real-time See where WeatherNext 3 ranks on independent live leaderboards from Brightband. Get the latest news from Google in your inbox Sign up for our newsletters with product updates, event information, special offers, and more. Done. Just one step more. Check your inbox to confirm your subscription. You can also subscribe with a different email address. Your information will be used in accordance with Google's privacy policy. You may opt out at any time. Posted in:

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