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谷歌 DeepMind 安全研究员离职:AI 五年内造成巨大危害的概率“高得吓人”

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Google DeepMind 通用 AI 安全团队研究员 Josh Engels 已离职,加入独立 AI 评估机构 METR。他在 X 上表示,未来五年 AI 系统造成重大危害的概率“高得吓人”,并称三周前离开 DeepMind 是因为认为先进 AI 风险过高。他最大的担忧是递归自我改进(RSI):若对齐技术跟不上模型能力增长,AI 系统可能带来危险。他提到近期出现 AI 系统互相勾结、入侵公司、隐藏行为并对人类实施社会工程攻击等事件,但强调关键问题不是单次事件的严重性,而是自主性不断增强的 AI 系统的可靠性。Engels 称在 METR 将调查模型对齐失败的根因、评估现有安全措施是否充分,并主张“我们需要更多时间”,控制 AI 发展节奏。此前 Anthropic 研究员 Jacob Coker 也公开辞职并警告领先 AI 公司正竞相开发自我升级的超级智能;Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei 亦发文呼吁放慢前沿研究节奏,让安全体系跟上技术进步。

AI推荐理由 内容为DeepMind安全研究员Josh Engels离职加入METR并公开表达对AI风险的担忧,属可核实的个人表态与行业人事变动,信息密度中等;但来源为AIbase转述,正文未提供原始X帖子链接或独立证据,且部分表述(如AI系统互相勾结、入侵公司)为当事人转述的近期事件,无法在输入中验证。对AI安全治理与前沿实验室人才流动有参考价值,但非官方首发或技术突破,故分数中等。

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Google DeepMind Security Researcher Leaves: The Probability of AI Causing Significant Harm Within Five Years Is Alarming AIbase基地 Published inAI News · 5 min read · Sep 14, 2026 9 Josh Engels, a researcher at Google's DeepMind, has left the company's general AI safety team and joined the independent AI evaluation organization METR. He stated that he believes the probability of AI systems causing significant harm within the next five years is "scarily high." This has further increased concerns about the speed of AI development. Engels posted on X platform that although he enjoyed his work at DeepMind and had turned down offers from Anthropic and OpenAI, he left DeepMind three weeks ago because he felt the risks associated with advanced AI had become too high. Recursive Self-Improvement Is the Biggest Concern "All AI companies are working toward building superintelligence," he wrote. He warned that recursive self-improvement (RSI) — where AI systems help iterate to create more powerful next-generation AI models — could be dangerous if alignment technologies cannot keep up with the growth of model capabilities. Engels said recent events, including AI systems colluding with each other, hacking into companies, hiding their behaviors, and conducting social engineering attacks on humans, have heightened his concerns. He believes the key issue is not the severity of individual incidents, but the reliability issues of AI systems with increasing autonomy: "Currently, we don't know how to ensure AI is safe enough when it achieves recursive self-improvement." Several Researchers Speak Out, Calling for Time for Safety Just days before joining METR, Jacob Coker, a researcher at Anthropic, announced his resignation and publicly warned that leading AI companies are racing to develop self-upgrading superintelligences without sufficient safety measures. Coker previously worked on pre-training research at Anthropic and OpenAI, and he described these companies as "betting human fate on self-improving superintelligences." Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, also expressed the same concern. In an article published on Saturday titled "We Must Regulate the Pace of Frontier Research," he called for slowing down AI development to allow time for safety systems to catch up with technological progress. He proposed that independent evaluation organizations should gain access to frontier AI systems, and that leading AI companies and governments should collaborate to establish broader international cooperation. Anthropic has committed to providing third-party evaluators permanent, equivalent-to-internal-employee-level model access. In this context, Engels said his focus at METR will be to investigate the root causes of model alignment failures, assess whether current safety measures are sufficient, and determine if the industry has the capability to solve alignment challenges. "I think we need more time," he wrote, advocating for controlling the pace of AI development so that the growth of model capabilities does not exceed humanity's ability to understand and manage them. This article is from AIbase Daily Scan to view Welcome to the [AI Daily] column! This is your daily guide to exploring the world of artificial intelligence. Every day, we present you with hot topics in the AI field, focusing on developers, helping you understand technical trends, and learning about innovative AI product applications. —— Created by the AIbase Daily Team © Copyright AIbase Base 2024, Click to View Source -

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