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KairosAgent:融合语义推理的智能体式时间序列预测
该论文提出 KairosAgent,一个面向多模态时间序列预测的智能体框架,由基于 LLM 的推理器和基于 TSFM 的预测器组成:通过动态调用分析工具增强 LLM 的数值理解与语义推理,再将推理结果融合进 TSFM 流程以提升预测精度。作者还构建了大规模高质量轨迹语料,并提出基于预测的强化学习范式,包含多轮细化和轮次级信用分配。论文称其在零样本预测上表现更优,但摘要未给出具体数据集与对比数值。
AI推荐理由 arXiv 预印本(v2,2026-09-09 修订),来源可信、摘要信息密度较高,但仅有摘要级证据,未提供具体数据集、基线对比数值或代码链接,实验结论无法独立核验。其新意在于把 LLM 推理器与 TSFM 预测器组合成 agentic 框架,并引入基于预测的强化学习与多轮细化、轮次级信用分配,用于跨域多模态时间序列零样本预测;局限是效果仅以作者自述的 superior zero-shot 表述呈现,缺少可验证指标。
72
正文
Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence
arXiv:2605.30002 (cs)
[Submitted on 28 May 2026 (v1), last revised 9 Sep 2026 (this version, v2)]
Title:KairosAgent: Agentic Time Series Forecasting with Fused Semantic Reasoning
Authors:Kun Feng, Ziwei Shan, Yuchen Fang, Yiyang Tan, Sihan Lu, Shuqi Gu, Xingyu Lu, Lintao Ma, Kan Ren
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Abstract:Cross-domain multimodal time series forecasting is a challenging task, requiring models to integrate precise numerical comprehension, cross-domain semantic understanding, and effective multimodal fusion. Existing approaches either build Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) from scratch or leverage pretrained Large Language Models (LLMs). However, TSFMs often overlook semantic understanding and lack the ability to perform future-oriented semantic reasoning, and LLMs struggle with numerical comprehension and accurate quantitative forecasting. To overcome these limitations, we propose KairosAgent, a novel agentic framework for multimodal time series forecasting, including an LLM-based reasoner and a TSFM-based forecaster. KairosAgent unifies textual reasoning and numerical forecasting by dynamically invoking analytical tools to enhance the numerical understanding and semantic reasoning capabilities of LLMs. The reasoning results are subsequently fused into the TSFM pipeline, enabling more accurate and reliable future predictions. To further improve the reasoning, we curate a large-scale corpus of high-quality trajectories, alongside a reinforcement learning from forecasting paradigm with multi-turn refinement and turn-level credit assignment. Experiments demonstrate that KairosAgent achieves superior zero-shot forecasting performance while maximizing the utility of pretrained LLMs and TSFMs, presenting a promising direction for efficient and interpretable time series agents. The project page is at this https URL .
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Subjects:
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
Cite as:
arXiv:2605.30002 [cs.AI]
(or
arXiv:2605.30002v2 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.30002
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arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite
Submission history
From: Kun Feng [view email]
[v1]
Thu, 28 May 2026 14:32:48 UTC (419 KB)
[v2]
Wed, 9 Sep 2026 12:22:30 UTC (449 KB)
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