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AI 递归自我改进或许不会那么快到来
MIT Technology Review 文章对 AI 递归自我改进的快速到来提出质疑。评论区指出所引论文实际标题为《Can AI agents conduct open-ended AI research? Early evidence from two case studies》，并认为该研究并未真正涉及自我改进，只涉及开放式 AI 研究能力；有评论者认为自我改进需要的是能自主产出更优 AI agent 的软件系统，而目前没有证据表明 AI agent 能构建这种规模的可用软件系统。
AI推荐理由 MIT Technology Review 文章讨论 AI 递归自我改进可能不会很快到来，评论区指出所引论文实际标题为《Can AI agents conduct open-ended AI research? Early evidence from two case studies》，并质疑该研究并未真正涉及自我改进，只涉及开放式研究能力。提供了具体论文线索和对结论范围的限定，属于对 AI 自我改进叙事的降温性讨论，但正文片段仅为评论，缺乏论文数据细节。
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Domain: technologyreview.com
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[Top Comments]
- Opus 4.8 plus OpenClaw. I feel like the space is moving so fast that the result with this setup says very little about how close we are actually now.
- Yeah, it’s crazy how fast things have changed in a month. I couldn’t find a more recent replication or similar study but it would be interesting to see it done with the current frontiers. Though I don’t think that would change much about the overall conclusion of the paper
- Link to the actual paper:
- The actual title of the paper is: "Can AI agents conduct open-ended AI research? Early evidence from two case studies"
While I appreciate that the article is throwing a web blanket on doomer claims, the actual study doesn't really get into AI self-improvement. That doesn't require writing papers. That just requires autonomously writing a software system that can produce a better AI agent then the one that created it. That said, I have little worry about this being possible as I have seen no evidence of AI agents being able to produce a working software system of that scale.
- Of course it might not, it has been the holy grail of AI research for a long time. It would be great if we could leave some self improving code running on a blank slate of a computer while we sleep and the machine was crying asking me what is everything the next morning. None of AI researchers have had that moment outside of their dreams, so far, but it would be great if it happened.