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22 位研究者合著论文：AI 构建 AI 或引发智能爆炸
The Rundown AI 转述一篇由 22 位研究者合著的论文，作者包括 OpenAI 首席科学家、Anthropic 联合创始人及 Geoffrey Hinton、Yoshua Bengio。文中称 AI 目前在高层人类监督下完成 Anthropic 26% 的研发工作（3 月为 1%）；一旦达到专家水平，单一实验室算力可相当于数百万顶级人类研究者；全面自动化后，当前一年的 AI 进展或缩短至约五周；AI 实验室支出占美国 GDP 比重超过曼哈顿计划与阿波罗计划之和。论文在极端情形下提及人类边缘化或灭绝。
AI推荐理由 转述一篇由 22 位研究者（含 OpenAI 首席科学家、Anthropic 联合创始人、Hinton、Bengio）合著的论文，涉及 AI 自我构建 AI 可能引发智能爆炸，并给出 Anthropic R&D 自动化比例从 1% 升至 26%、算力投入超过曼哈顿计划与阿波罗计划之和等具体数字。信息密度高、议题重要，但为二手转述，未给出论文原文链接，部分数字需核实。
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22 researchers, including OpenAI's chief scientist, Anthropic's co-founder, and AI 'godfathers' Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, just co-wrote a paper on how AI building AI could set off an "intelligence explosion."
Some of the wildest parts:
- AI now completes 26% of Anthropic's R&D work with only high-level human oversight, up from 1% in March
- Once AI hits expert level, one lab's current computing power could run the equivalent of "at least millions of top human researchers"
- In one scenario after full automation, a year of today's AI progress would take about five weeks
- AI labs are spending more (as a share of U.S. GDP) than the Manhattan Project and Apollo Program combined
At the extreme end of the range of outcomes, according to the paper: "the marginalization or extinction of humanity."
