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信念状态引擎:增强 LLM 在部分可观测条件下的原则性规划
论文将 LLM 智能体在部分可观测环境中的失败(过早承诺、错误收敛、策略漂移)归因于其作为历史条件策略缺乏对隐藏状态的显式信念。作者提出 Belief-State Engine(BSE),一个置于 LLM 外部的推理模块,维护给定 POMDP 潜在状态的贝叶斯后验,每步只向 LLM 暴露该后验而不展示原始动作-观测日志,并给出信念一致内部状态的四条公理规范,证明该组合是信念 MDP 上的可靠马尔可夫策略。在 Tiger POMDP 与红队攻击图任务上对比反应式 LLM、CoT、ReAct、自然语言信念跟踪器、QMDP 和 POMCP 六种基线,并做十项消融。
AI推荐理由 arXiv 新投稿,指出 LLM 智能体在部分可观测环境下因缺乏显式信念状态而出现过早承诺、错误收敛与策略漂移,提出置于 LLM 之外的 Belief-State Engine,仅向 LLM 暴露 POMDP 的贝叶斯后验,并给出四条公理规范与马尔可夫策略的可靠性证明。具体新信息是架构设计与理论保证,并在 Tiger POMDP 与红队攻击图任务上对比六种基线、做十项消融;局限是仅摘要自述,未给出具体数值,实际部署效果未验证。
78
正文
Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence
arXiv:2609.10036 (cs)
[Submitted on 9 Sep 2026]
Title:Belief-State Engine: Augmenting LLMs for Principled Planning Under Partial Observability
Authors:Arnab Chattopadhayay, Debdipta Halder
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Abstract:Large language model agents produce fluent action sequences across a wide range of tasks, yet they fail in characteristic ways once the environment becomes partially observable. Ambiguous feedback pushes them into premature commitments. A single informative observation can collapse their uncertainty onto the wrong hypothesis. Policies drift as the history grows. We trace these symptoms to a common structural cause. An LLM agent, as commonly deployed, is a history-conditioned policy with no explicit belief over hidden state.
We propose an architectural fix. The Belief-State Engine (BSE) is an inference module placed outside the LLM. It maintains a Bayesian posterior over the latent states of a given POMDP (Partially Observable Markov Decision Process) model, and at each decision step it exposes only that posterior to the LLM. The raw action-observation log is not shown. We set out a minimal four-axiom specification of what a belief-consistent internal state must satisfy, and prove that the LLM paired with the BSE is a sound Markov policy on the belief MDP induced by the underlying POMDP. It therefore inherits the Bellman optimality guarantees of classical POMDP theory, provided the LLM is never exposed to the raw history.
We evaluate the architecture on the Tiger POMDP and a red-team attack-graph task, against six baselines: a reactive LLM, Chain-of-Thought, ReAct, a natural-language belief tracker, QMDP, and POMCP. Across both domains, the BSE-augmented agent improves task return, belief calibration, and decision consistency. Ten targeted ablations isolate the contribution of each architectural choice confirms that the effect is not specific to any one model. Code, environment specifications, prompt templates, and seed logs accompany this paper.
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Subjects:
Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG); Robotics (cs.RO)
Cite as:
arXiv:2609.10036 [cs.AI]
(or
arXiv:2609.10036v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.10036
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arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)
Submission history
From: Arnab Chattopadhayay [view email]
[v1]
Wed, 9 Sep 2026 11:07:47 UTC (291 KB)
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